The Federal Reserve delivered its second consecutive interest rate cut on Wednesday, lowering its benchmark rate by a quarter-point to a range of 3.75% to 4.0%. The move, however, failed to ignite a broad… The dollar index traded in a narrow range, mostly between 97 and 99, in October. The index has been stuck in neutral, but all fiat currencies have continued to lose value over the past month. Select market data provided by ICE Data Services.
Gold holds gains above the $4,000 mark in the European session on Friday, though it remains below the overnight swing high amid mixed cues. The euro holds the most weight versus the dollar in the index, making up about 57.6 per cent of the weighting, followed by the yen with around 13.6 per cent. The dollar index (DXY00) on Thursday fell by -0.49%. Also, the dollar is still under pressure from the ongoing US government shutdown. The longer the shutdown is maintained, the more likely the US economy will suffer and the more likely the Fed will have to cut interest rates. Risk appetite has not fully enjoyed the treats of a Fed rate cut, strong earnings and trade peace.
Weak US Job News Undercuts the Dollar
Highlights important summary options statistics to provide a forward looking indication of investors’ sentiment. The Quote Overview page gives you a snapshot view for a specific index. During market hours, indices are 15 minute delay, ET. New delayed trade updates are updated on the page as indicated by a “flash”. The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction. Seasonal & correlation patterns suggest gold could be a steal in November or December.
- Post-Diwali demand drops, and a stronger dollar plays a role.
- A few macroeconomic factors have a significant impact on the US Dollar Index price.
- Also, the dollar is still under pressure from the ongoing US government shutdown.
- CUSIP Database provided by FactSet Research Systems Inc.
Labor Market Weakness Drags Down Dollar and Yields
Fedspeak, the US Supreme Court and US data could challenge the Dollar’s current strength. Aussie and Pound are on divergent paths as respective central banks meet next week. The US Dollar Index (DXY) serves as a benchmark for measuring the relative value of the American dollar to a basket of currencies of the US’s key trading partners.
US Dollar Index Streaming Chart
Supreme Court justices over the legality of reciprocal tariffs introduced during the Trump administration. A ruling against the policy could reduce trade tensions and inflation expectations, further weighing on yields. The US Dollar trims losses on Friday with investors wary of risk following another sell-off on Wall Street, as concerns of an AI bubble remain alive. The USD Index, which measures the value of the Dollar against a basket of peers, is trading at 99.85 in the early European session, up from weekly lows around 99.65. The DXY Index is often used by traders to monitor the value of the USD in comparison to a basket of select currencies in a single transaction.
It also allows them to hedge their bets against any risks with respect to the dollar. When prices are rising they are usually above the average. This is to be expected since the average includes data from the previous, lower priced days. As long as prices remain above the average there is strength in the market. Losses in the dollar were limited on Thursday after stocks fell, which boosted liquidity demand for the dollar.
Results are interpreted as buy, sell or hold signals, each with numeric ratings and summarized with an overall percentage buy or sell rating. After each calculation the program assigns a Buy, Sell, or Hold value with the study, depending on where the price lies in reference to the common interpretation of the study. For example, a price above its moving average is generally considered an upward trend or a buy. The longer this rally holds, the more it’s running on incomplete data.
What a time to be alive
Post-Diwali demand drops, and a stronger dollar plays a role. Are you tracking these cycles to time your trades? Great spreads, good selection of instruments, well coded toolbox. They helped get my account back very fast, after i logged myself out by losing my old email, it was so fast you wouldn’t believe it thank you once again. AI stocks shed $500B on valuation fears; Nasdaq dips as jobs data looms. Zcash (ZEC) moons 1270% YTD, breaks $600, nearing $10B market cap.
Stocks must have traded for the specified time period in order to be considered as a new High or Low. Treasury yields moved lower across the curve as fixed income markets responded to the deteriorating labor outlook. The 10-year yield fell more than 6 basis points to 4.089%, while the 2-year yield dropped to 3.566%. A report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed 153,074 job cuts in October—up 183% from September and the highest October figure since 2003. The data intensified concerns about U.S. economic resilience and increased the likelihood of monetary easing before year-end. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) refers to the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States.
- Also, hawkish comments from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack were supportive of the dollar when they said they favored no additional Fed rate cuts.
- Select market data provided by ICE Data Services.
- Barchart Insider Commentary brings you breaking stories affecting today’s markets.
- The longer this rally holds, the more it’s running on incomplete data.
- The Federal Reserve delivered its second consecutive interest rate cut on Wednesday, lowering its benchmark rate by a quarter-point to a range of 3.75% to 4.0%.
The index’s value is indicative of the dollar’s value in global markets. The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing the legality of tariffs imposed under the 1977 emergency powers statute. A ruling against the administration could unwind a chunk of those duties, impacting trade flows and possibly inflation expectations. It’s not moving markets yet, but it’s worth keeping on the radar. James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.
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Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc.Copyright © 2025, American Bankers Association. CUSIP Database provided by FactSet Research Systems Inc. SEC fillings and Best monthly dividends other documents provided by Quartr.© 2025 TradingView, Inc. You can follow the ups and downs of the Dollar Index at Capital.com. Always stay on top of the latest price developments with our DXY live chart. Follow the rate of the US Dollar Index (DXY) in real-time at Capital.com to spot the best trading opportunities.
With the government shutdown stretching into a 36th day, official figures like Q3 GDP are still MIA. The CBO estimates the shutdown could shave 1–2 percentage points off Q4 growth, with $7 to $14 billion in permanent loss. So far, traders aren’t pricing in that drag — but the risk is out there if the shutdown drags deeper into November. U.S. Dollar Index falls as job cuts surge and Treasury yields drop, raising December Fed rate cut bets.